Pair #9014

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-GESO26-VHOV

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Viktor Hovland finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Viktor Hovland
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 9172

YES ask: 0.2500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Viktor Hovland finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-VHOV

Will Viktor Hovland win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Viktor Hovland
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 1476528

YES ask: 0.0280
NO ask: 0.9740
Last: 0.0280

View on Kalshi

Rules If Viktor Hovland wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -65.89% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0280 + ~$0.0019 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -70.12% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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