Pair #900

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-BBRO

Valspar Championship: Will Blades Brown make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Blades Brown
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3958

YES ask: 0.8700
NO ask: 0.2100
Last: 0.5700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Blades Brown makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-VAC26-BBRO

Will Blades Brown lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valspar Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Blades Brown
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 24832

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Blades Brown is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:12:08Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a player could theoretically withdraw or be disqualified before the cut), and making the cut does not imply leading after Round 1. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.2200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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