Pair #897

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-BBRO

Valspar Championship: Will Blades Brown finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Blades Brown
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 18073

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Blades Brown finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-BBRO

Valspar Championship: Will Blades Brown finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Blades Brown
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 23364

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Blades Brown finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:12:08Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means finishing top 20. Finishing top 20 does not imply finishing top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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