Pair #8968

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-THOC26-CGOT

The Open Championship: Will Chris Gotterup finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Chris Gotterup
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 28967

YES ask: 0.3500
NO ask: 0.6600
Last: 0.3500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Chris Gotterup finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP5-GESO26-CGOT

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Chris Gotterup finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Chris Gotterup
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 25215

YES ask: 0.6000
NO ask: 0.4700
Last: 0.6500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Chris Gotterup finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -99.59% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.2600 + ~$0.0325 est. fees
Days to maturity: 17
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -103.82% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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