Pair #896

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-BBRO

Valspar Championship: Will Blades Brown finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Blades Brown
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 23364

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Blades Brown finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-BBRO

Valspar Championship: Will Blades Brown make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Blades Brown
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3958

YES ask: 0.8700
NO ask: 0.2100
Last: 0.5700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Blades Brown makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:12:08Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 20 requires making the cut. Making the cut does not imply finishing top 20.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.8700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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