Pair #8954

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-GESO26-TKIM

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Tom Kim finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Tom Kim
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 22534

YES ask: 0.9500
NO ask: 0.4800
Last: 0.9600

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Rules

If Tom Kim finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-TKIM

Will Tom Kim win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Tom Kim
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 2311083

YES ask: 0.0180
NO ask: 0.9830
Last: 0.0180

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tom Kim wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.4980 + ~$0.0187 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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