Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOP10-GESO26-TKIM
Genesis Scottish Open: Will Tom Kim finish top 10?
Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Tom Kim
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 10760
YES ask: 0.7900
NO ask: 0.2900
Last: 0.7300
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Tom Kim finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOUR-THOC26-TKIM
Will Tom Kim win the The Open Championship?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Tom Kim
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 2311083
YES ask: 0.0180
NO ask: 0.9830
Last: 0.0180
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Tom Kim wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A
Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees):
>999%
PROFITABLE
Cost:
$0.3080
+ ~$0.0157 est. fees
Days to maturity:
10
Hurdle yield:
4.23%
Excess yield:
>999%
PROFITABLE