Pair #8932

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-GESO26-JTHO

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Justin Thomas finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Justin Thomas
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 16685

YES ask: 0.3300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

Rules

If Justin Thomas finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP5-THOC26-JTHO

The Open Championship: Will Justin Thomas finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Justin Thomas
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 2076

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 0.9100
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Justin Thomas finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -97.50% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.1000 + ~$0.0063 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -101.73% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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