Pair #8914

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-GESO26-MLEE

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Min Woo Lee finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 12390

YES ask: 0.6900
NO ask: 0.4400
Last: 0.7100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Min Woo Lee finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-GESO26-MLEE

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Min Woo Lee finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3602

YES ask: 0.9700
NO ask: 0.5000
Last: 0.8000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Min Woo Lee finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOP5 is a strict subset of KXPGATOP10 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.4100 + ~$0.0193 est. fees
Days to maturity: 11
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -104.23% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-11T13:09:38Z

Authenticate

← Back to review queue