Pair #891

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-DFOR

Valspar Championship: Will David Ford finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: David Ford
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4997

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules If David Ford finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-DFOR

Valspar Championship: Will David Ford make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: David Ford
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 488

YES ask: 0.9700
NO ask: 0.1700
Last: 0.5600

View on Kalshi

Rules If David Ford makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:12:08Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 requires making the cut. Making the cut does not imply finishing top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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