Pair #8900

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-GESO26-STHE

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Sahith Theegala finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Sahith Theegala
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1492

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sahith Theegala finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-STHE

Will Sahith Theegala win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Sahith Theegala
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 1297553

YES ask: 0.0030
NO ask: 0.9980
Last: 0.0030

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sahith Theegala wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -11.04% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0030 + ~$0.0002 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -15.27% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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