Pair #8893

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-BKOE

Will Brooks Koepka lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 14375

YES ask: 0.0120
NO ask: 0.9890
Last: 0.0120

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brooks Koepka is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-BKOE

Will Brooks Koepka win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 969524

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 0.9910
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brooks Koepka wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -0.97% (negative yield)
Cost: $0.9990 + ~$0.0015 est. fees
Days to maturity: 17
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -5.20% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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