Pair #8887

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-GESO26-TFLE

Will Tommy Fleetwood win the Genesis Scottish Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Tommy Fleetwood
Expiration: 2026-07-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1031391

YES ask: 0.0040
NO ask: 0.9980
Last: 0.0050

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Rules

If Tommy Fleetwood wins the Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-GESO26-TFLE

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Tommy Fleetwood finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Tommy Fleetwood
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 54656

YES ask: 0.6700
NO ask: 0.4600
Last: 0.7100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tommy Fleetwood finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOUR is a strict subset of KXPGATOP20 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): N/A
Cost: $1.6680 + ~$0.0156 est. fees
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-11T13:09:38Z

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