Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOP20-GESO26-TFLE
Genesis Scottish Open: Will Tommy Fleetwood finish top 20?
Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Tommy Fleetwood
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 54656
YES ask: 0.6700
NO ask: 0.4600
Last: 0.7100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Tommy Fleetwood finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOP5-THOC26-TFLE
The Open Championship: Will Tommy Fleetwood finish top 5?
Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Tommy Fleetwood
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 4879
YES ask: 0.2300
NO ask: 0.7800
Last: 0.2100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Tommy Fleetwood finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A
Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees):
>999%
PROFITABLE
Cost:
$0.6900
+ ~$0.0298 est. fees
Days to maturity:
10
Hurdle yield:
4.23%
Excess yield:
>999%
PROFITABLE