Pair #8879

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-GESO26-TFLE

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Tommy Fleetwood finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Tommy Fleetwood
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 8916

YES ask: 0.3900
NO ask: 0.8900
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tommy Fleetwood finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-TFLE

Will Tommy Fleetwood win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Tommy Fleetwood
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 1238380

YES ask: 0.0540
NO ask: 0.9470
Last: 0.0540

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tommy Fleetwood wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): 448.73% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.9440 + ~$0.0104 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: +444.50% PROFITABLE

Human Review

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