Pair #8869

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-GESO26-TFLE

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Tommy Fleetwood finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Tommy Fleetwood
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 54656

YES ask: 0.6700
NO ask: 0.4600
Last: 0.7100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tommy Fleetwood finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-THOC26-TFLE

The Open Championship: Will Tommy Fleetwood finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Tommy Fleetwood
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 20606

YES ask: 0.5500
NO ask: 0.4600
Last: 0.5500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tommy Fleetwood finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -79.74% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0100 + ~$0.0347 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -83.97% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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