Pair #8860

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-GESO26-TFLE

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Tommy Fleetwood finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Tommy Fleetwood
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 18069

YES ask: 0.6500
NO ask: 0.7500
Last: 0.6900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tommy Fleetwood finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-THOC26-TFLE

The Open Championship: Will Tommy Fleetwood finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Tommy Fleetwood
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 7340

YES ask: 0.3600
NO ask: 0.6500
Last: 0.3600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tommy Fleetwood finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -99.14% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.1100 + ~$0.0293 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -103.37% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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