Pair #8846

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-GESO26-BHAR

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Brian Harman finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Brian Harman
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2130

YES ask: 0.2500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0500

Rules

If Brian Harman finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-BHAR

Will Brian Harman win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Brian Harman
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 607793

YES ask: 0.0070
NO ask: 0.9940
Last: 0.0070

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Brian Harman wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -23.83% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0070 + ~$0.0005 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -28.06% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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