Pair #8810

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-GESO26-WKIM

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Si Woo Kim finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Si Woo Kim
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 8717

YES ask: 0.3500
NO ask: 0.8400
Last: 0.4100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Si Woo Kim finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-GESO26-WKIM

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Si Woo Kim finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Si Woo Kim
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4119

YES ask: 0.8500
NO ask: 0.5600
Last: 0.5800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Si Woo Kim finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOP10 is a strict subset of KXPGATOP20 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.6900 + ~$0.0183 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -104.23% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-11T13:09:38Z

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