Pair #8808

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-GESO26-WKIM

Will Si Woo Kim win the Genesis Scottish Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Si Woo Kim
Expiration: 2026-07-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 312471

YES ask: 0.0030
NO ask: 0.9990
Last: 0.0030

View on Kalshi

Rules If Si Woo Kim wins the Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-GESO26-WKIM

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Si Woo Kim finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Si Woo Kim
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4119

YES ask: 0.8500
NO ask: 0.5600
Last: 0.5800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Si Woo Kim finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOUR is a strict subset of KXPGATOP20 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): N/A
Cost: $1.8490 + ~$0.0090 est. fees
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-11T13:09:38Z

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