Pair #8731

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-MPUL

The Masters: Will Mateo Pulcini finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Mateo Pulcini
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 1255

YES ask: 0.2000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Mateo Pulcini finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-MPUL

The Masters: Will Mateo Pulcini make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Mateo Pulcini
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 22123

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Mateo Pulcini has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:42:19Z

Reasoning: If Pulcini finishes top 10, he must have made the cut to complete the tournament. You cannot finish top 10 without making the cut. The reverse is not true — making the cut does not guarantee a top 10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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