Pair #8727

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-MPUL

The Masters: Will Mateo Pulcini finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Mateo Pulcini
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 5463

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

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Rules

If Mateo Pulcini finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-MPUL

The Masters: Will Mateo Pulcini make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Mateo Pulcini
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 22123

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Mateo Pulcini has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:41:56Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 20 in the Masters requires completing the tournament, which means making the cut. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not guarantee a top 20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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