Pair #8704

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-FLAO

Will Fifa Laopakdee win the The Masters?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Fifa Laopakdee
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 135202

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

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Rules

If Fifa Laopakdee wins the The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAPLAYERCAT-MAST26APAC-FLAO

Will Fifa Laopakdee finish as the top Asian/Oceanic golfer in the tournament?

Series: KXPGAPLAYERCAT
Entity: Fifa Laopakdee
Expiration: 2026-04-13T00:00:25.427Z
Volume: 617

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Fifa Laopakdee records the lowest total strokes among all Asian/Oceanic golfers who complete the full tournament of the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: need more info
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:41:17Z

Reasoning: If Fifa Laopakdee wins the Masters overall, she has the lowest score among all golfers, so she would necessarily be the top Asian/Oceanic golfer — but only if she is actually Asian/Oceanic. Her name suggests this, but it is not explicitly confirmed in the rules. Assuming she qualifies as Asian/Oceanic, the implication holds with high confidence.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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