Pair #8702

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-FLAO

Will Fifa Laopakdee win the The Masters?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Fifa Laopakdee
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 135202

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Fifa Laopakdee wins the The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP5-MAST26-FLAO

The Masters: Will Fifa Laopakdee finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Fifa Laopakdee
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 1486

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Fifa Laopakdee finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:41:17Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters means finishing 1st, which is necessarily top 5. But finishing top 5 does not imply winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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