Pair #8696

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-FLAO

The Masters: Will Fifa Laopakdee finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Fifa Laopakdee
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 1688

YES ask: 0.8000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Fifa Laopakdee finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-FLAO

The Masters: Will Fifa Laopakdee finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Fifa Laopakdee
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 2388

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Fifa Laopakdee finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:41:17Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means finishing top 20. But finishing top 20 does not imply top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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