Pair #8669

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR2LEAD-MAST26-BHOL

Will Brandon Holtz lead at the end of Round 2 in the The Masters?

Series: KXPGAR2LEAD
Entity: Brandon Holtz
Expiration: 2026-04-26T23:00:00Z
Volume: 942

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Brandon Holtz is the leader at the end of Round 2 in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-BHOL

The Masters: Will Brandon Holtz make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Brandon Holtz
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 43062

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Brandon Holtz has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:40:18Z

Reasoning: If Holtz leads after Round 2, he has completed two rounds and is the 36-hole leader, which means he has made the cut. Making the cut does not imply leading after Round 2.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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