Pair #8664

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-MAST26-BHOL

The Masters: Will Brandon Holtz finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Brandon Holtz
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 1241

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Brandon Holtz finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-BHOL

The Masters: Will Brandon Holtz make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Brandon Holtz
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 43062

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Brandon Holtz has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:40:18Z

Reasoning: If Holtz finishes top 5 overall, he must have made the cut to play all four rounds. Making the cut does not imply a top 5 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue