Pair #8648

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAPLAYERCAT-MAST26AMAT-JHER

Will Jackson Herrington finish as the top Amateur golfer in the tournament?

Series: KXPGAPLAYERCAT
Entity: Jackson Herrington
Expiration: 2026-04-13T00:00:00Z
Volume: 14550

YES ask: 0.1200
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.1300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jackson Herrington records the lowest total strokes among all Amateur golfers who complete the full tournament of the 2026 Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-JHER

The Masters: Will Jackson Herrington make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Jackson Herrington
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 11328

YES ask: 0.1500
NO ask: 0.8900
Last: 0.1500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jackson Herrington has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: medium
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:39:58Z

Reasoning: The top amateur market resolves based on completing the full tournament, which requires making the cut. So if Herrington finishes as top amateur (completes all rounds), he must have made the cut. However, making the cut does not necessitate finishing as top amateur. Note: the Masters invites amateurs and historically amateurs who don't make the cut still play all four rounds under a different rule, but the top amateur market explicitly requires completing the full tournament — making the cut is a prerequisite for that. Confidence is medium due to potential Masters-specific amateur rules.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue