Pair #8644

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-MAST26-JHER

The Masters: Will Jackson Herrington finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Jackson Herrington
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 2672

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jackson Herrington finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-JHER

The Masters: Will Jackson Herrington make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Jackson Herrington
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 11328

YES ask: 0.1500
NO ask: 0.8900
Last: 0.1500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jackson Herrington has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:39:38Z

Reasoning: To finish top 5, a player must complete all four rounds, which requires making the cut. Making the cut does not imply a top 5 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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