Pair #8635

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-JHER

Will Jackson Herrington win the The Masters?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Jackson Herrington
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 53018

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jackson Herrington wins the The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-JHER

The Masters: Will Jackson Herrington finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Jackson Herrington
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 670

YES ask: 0.1500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jackson Herrington finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:39:38Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters means finishing 1st, which is necessarily within the top 10. However, finishing top 10 does not imply winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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