Pair #8633

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-JHER

The Masters: Will Jackson Herrington finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Jackson Herrington
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 3050

YES ask: 0.0700
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0800

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Rules

If Jackson Herrington finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-JHER

The Masters: Will Jackson Herrington make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Jackson Herrington
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 11328

YES ask: 0.1500
NO ask: 0.8900
Last: 0.1500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jackson Herrington has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:39:18Z

Reasoning: If Herrington finishes top 20 in the tournament, he must have made the cut to complete all four rounds. Making the cut does not imply finishing top 20.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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