Pair #8630

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-JHER

The Masters: Will Jackson Herrington finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Jackson Herrington
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 670

YES ask: 0.1500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jackson Herrington finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-JHER

The Masters: Will Jackson Herrington finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Jackson Herrington
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 3050

YES ask: 0.0700
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jackson Herrington finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:39:18Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means finishing top 20 as well. Finishing top 20 does not imply finishing top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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