Pair #8624

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-MAST26-DBER

The Masters: Will Daniel Berger finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Daniel Berger
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 2993

YES ask: 0.0800
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0400

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Rules

If Daniel Berger finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-DBER

The Masters: Will Daniel Berger make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Daniel Berger
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 27507

YES ask: 0.5200
NO ask: 0.4900
Last: 0.5200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Daniel Berger has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:39:18Z

Reasoning: If Berger finishes top 5 in the tournament, he must have made the cut to play all four rounds. Making the cut does not imply finishing top 5.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.5200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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