Pair #8618

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-DBER

The Masters: Will Daniel Berger finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Daniel Berger
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 6763

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Daniel Berger finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-DBER

The Masters: Will Daniel Berger make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Daniel Berger
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 27507

YES ask: 0.5200
NO ask: 0.4900
Last: 0.5200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Daniel Berger has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:39:00Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 20 requires having made the cut to play all four rounds. Making the cut does not guarantee a top 20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.5200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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