Pair #8616

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-MAST26-GAW

The Masters: Will Gary Woodland finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Gary Woodland
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 22482

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Gary Woodland finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-GWOO

The Masters: Will Gary Woodland make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Gary Woodland
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 8391

YES ask: 0.9400
NO ask: 0.1100
Last: 0.8900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Gary Woodland has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:39:00Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 5 requires having made the cut. Making the cut does not guarantee a top 5 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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