Pair #8612

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-GAW

The Masters: Will Gary Woodland finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Gary Woodland
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 68893

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Gary Woodland finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-GWOO

The Masters: Will Gary Woodland make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Gary Woodland
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 8391

YES ask: 0.9400
NO ask: 0.1100
Last: 0.8900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Gary Woodland has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:39:00Z

Reasoning: If Gary Woodland finishes in the top 20, he must have made the cut to play all four rounds. Making the cut does not guarantee a top 20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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