Pair #8610

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-MAST26-GAW

The Masters: Will Gary Woodland finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Gary Woodland
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 22482

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Gary Woodland finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-GAW

The Masters: Will Gary Woodland finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Gary Woodland
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 36243

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Gary Woodland finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:38:42Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 5 necessarily means finishing top 10. Finishing top 10 does not imply top 5.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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