Pair #861

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-DWIL

Valspar Championship: Will Danny Willett finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Danny Willett
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 17311

YES ask: 0.1200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Danny Willett finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-DWIL

Valspar Championship: Will Danny Willett make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Danny Willett
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4602

YES ask: 0.2600
NO ask: 0.8600
Last: 0.1200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Danny Willett makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:11:10Z

Reasoning: If Willett finishes top 10, he must have made the cut. Making the cut does not guarantee a top 10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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