Pair #8607

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-GAW

The Masters: Will Gary Woodland finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Gary Woodland
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 36243

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Gary Woodland finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-GAW

The Masters: Will Gary Woodland finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Gary Woodland
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 68893

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Gary Woodland finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:38:42Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means finishing top 20. Top 20 does not imply top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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