Pair #8600

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-GWOO

The Masters: Will Gary Woodland make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Gary Woodland
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 8391

YES ask: 0.9400
NO ask: 0.1100
Last: 0.8900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Gary Woodland has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMASTERS-26-GWOO

Gary Woodland to compete in The Masters in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMASTERS
Entity: Gary Woodland
Expiration: 2026-04-13T14:00:00Z
Volume: 1283

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Gary Woodland competes in The Masters in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:38:42Z

Reasoning: Making the cut requires competing in the tournament, so if Woodland makes the cut, he must have competed. However, competing does not necessitate making the cut.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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