Pair #8598

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-GAW

The Masters: Will Gary Woodland finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Gary Woodland
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 68893

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Gary Woodland finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMASTERS-26-GWOO

Gary Woodland to compete in The Masters in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMASTERS
Entity: Gary Woodland
Expiration: 2026-04-13T14:00:00Z
Volume: 1283

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Gary Woodland competes in The Masters in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:38:23Z

Reasoning: If Gary Woodland finishes top 20 at the Masters, he must have competed in it, so KXPGATOP20-MAST26-GAW implies KXPGAMASTERS-26-GWOO. The reverse does not hold: competing does not guarantee a top-20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $2.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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