Pair #859

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-DWIL

Valspar Championship: Will Danny Willett make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Danny Willett
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4602

YES ask: 0.2600
NO ask: 0.8600
Last: 0.1200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Danny Willett makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-DWIL

Will Danny Willett win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Danny Willett
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 180569

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Danny Willett wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:11:10Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters and making the cut at the Valspar Championship are independent events at different tournaments.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.8610
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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