Pair #8562

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-MAST26-CCON

The Masters: Will Corey Conners finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Corey Conners
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 14604

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Corey Conners finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-CCON

The Masters: Will Corey Conners make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Corey Conners
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 21511

YES ask: 0.6300
NO ask: 0.4100
Last: 0.6300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Corey Conners has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:37:34Z

Reasoning: If Conners finishes top 5, he must have made the cut. Making the cut does not imply a top 5 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.6300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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