Pair #8545

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-CCOR

Will Corey Conners win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Corey Conners
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 3341958

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Corey Conners wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-CCON

The Masters: Will Corey Conners finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Corey Conners
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 110926

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Corey Conners finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:37:15Z

Reasoning: If Corey Conners wins the Masters, he finishes 1st, which is necessarily within the top 20. The reverse does not hold: finishing top 20 does not mean he won.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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