Pair #8538

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-DUJ

The Masters: Will Dustin Johnson finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Dustin Johnson
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 23001

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0900

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Rules

If Dustin Johnson finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-DJOH

The Masters: Will Dustin Johnson make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Dustin Johnson
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 30556

YES ask: 0.7700
NO ask: 0.2800
Last: 0.7100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Dustin Johnson has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:36:52Z

Reasoning: If Dustin Johnson finishes in the top 10, he must have made the cut to play all four rounds. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not guarantee a top 10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.7700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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