Pair #8535

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-DUJ

The Masters: Will Dustin Johnson finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Dustin Johnson
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 23001

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0900

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Rules

If Dustin Johnson finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-DUJ

The Masters: Will Dustin Johnson finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Dustin Johnson
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 81852

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Dustin Johnson finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:36:52Z

Reasoning: If Dustin Johnson finishes in the top 10, he is necessarily also in the top 20. The reverse does not hold — finishing top 20 does not guarantee top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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