Pair #8525

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-DJOH

Will Dustin Johnson win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Dustin Johnson
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 2398576

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Dustin Johnson wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-DUJ

The Masters: Will Dustin Johnson finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Dustin Johnson
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 23001

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Dustin Johnson finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:36:35Z

Reasoning: If Dustin Johnson wins The Masters, he finishes 1st, which is necessarily a top-10 finish. The reverse does not hold — finishing top 10 doesn't mean he won.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue