Pair #8500

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-MAST26-MAH

The Masters: Will Max Homa finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Max Homa
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 27330

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

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Rules

If Max Homa finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-MHOM

The Masters: Will Max Homa make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Max Homa
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 19402

YES ask: 0.8300
NO ask: 0.1900
Last: 0.8000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Max Homa has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:35:58Z

Reasoning: A top 5 finish requires making the cut. The reverse is not true — making the cut does not guarantee a top 5 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.8300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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