Pair #8493

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-MAH

The Masters: Will Max Homa finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Max Homa
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 74800

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 0.9500
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Max Homa finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-MHOM

The Masters: Will Max Homa make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Max Homa
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 19402

YES ask: 0.8300
NO ask: 0.1900
Last: 0.8000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Max Homa has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:35:58Z

Reasoning: A top 10 finish requires completing all rounds, which means making the cut. The reverse is not true — making the cut does not guarantee a top 10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.7800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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