Pair #8491

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-MAH

The Masters: Will Max Homa finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Max Homa
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 74800

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 0.9500
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Max Homa finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-MAH

The Masters: Will Max Homa finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Max Homa
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 116134

YES ask: 0.4100
NO ask: 0.6000
Last: 0.4100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Max Homa finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:35:58Z

Reasoning: If Homa finishes top 10, he necessarily finishes top 20. The reverse is not true — he could finish 11th-20th.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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